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<span style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt;">Dear all,</span><br>
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<div style="margin: 0px; background-color: white; color: black;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">At the S3RI seminar today at 2 PM, Prof Rachel McCrea </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">(</span><span style="font-size:12pt; font-family:Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif"><span style="text-align: center; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; display: inline !important;">University
of Kent</span></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">) is speaking to us on</span><br>
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<div style="margin: 0px; background-color: white; color: black;"><span style="margin: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">"</span><span style="margin: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Aspects
of model selection and goodness-of-fit test for ecological models.</span><span style="margin: 0px; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">"</span></div>
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<div style="margin: 0px; background-color: white; color: black;"><span style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">P</span><span style="font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">lease
see below for the details of the talk and how to join the seminar online.</span></div>
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<p style="background-color: white; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: white; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Hope to see you at the seminar later today!</span><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: "Times New Roman", serif; color: black;"></span></p>
<p style="background-color: white; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: white; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"> </span><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: "Times New Roman", serif; color: black;"></span></p>
<p style="background-color: white; margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: white; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Kind regards,</span><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: "Times New Roman", serif; color: black;"></span></p>
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</span><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: white; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Jessie</span><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: white; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br>
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<span style="font-size:12pt; font-family:Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif"><em><strong></strong></em></span></p>
<span style="font-family:Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size:12pt"><b><i>Aspects of model selection and goodness-of-fit test for ecological models</i></b></span>
<div><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Rachel McCrea, </span><span style="margin: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span style="margin: 0px; text-align: center; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12pt; display: inline !important;">University
of Kent</span></span><br>
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<span style="font-family:Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size:12pt">Model selection and goodness-of-fit assessment are often overlooked steps in ecological model fitting, however their thorough consideration is essential if estimates from the models are
to be used to reliably inform future conservation strategies. Within this talk I will focus on models for ecological capture-recapture data. I will demonstrate how traditional diagnostic tests for departures from model assumptions are equivalent to score
tests and will present new diagnostic tests to detect heterogeneity in capture and transition probabilities. Finally, I will present our new test for the underlying state-structure of Hidden Markov models for the case of partially observed capture-recapture
data and will explain how this is motivating my future research in this area.</span><span style="font-size:12pt; font-family:Calibri,Helvetica,sans-serif"></span><span><br>
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