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<p class="MsoNormal">***apologies if you receive this more than once***<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12.0pt"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Title: Statistics and modelling for policy in a COVID-zero setting<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">When: Tuesday 23rd November 0915-1030<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Register in advance for this webinar:<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fturing-uk.zoom.us%2Fwebinar%2Fregister%2FWN_kZja5eyGSlOvgvTXEYhK-Q&data=04%7C01%7Csdd1%40soton.ac.uk%7Ce770d97931ea4e0375ac08d9a8e74b06%7C4a5378f929f44d3ebe89669d03ada9d8%7C0%7C0%7C637726533612283883%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=e%2FJ80lWitqG87liHXpnvMocWbKnUpCy1AXxuztNG5oU%3D&reserved=0">https://turing-uk.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_kZja5eyGSlOvgvTXEYhK-Q</a><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In the latest of the <a href="https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.turing.ac.uk%2Fresearch%2Fresearch-projects%2Fproviding-independent-research-leadership-uk-health-security-agency&data=04%7C01%7Csdd1%40soton.ac.uk%7Ce770d97931ea4e0375ac08d9a8e74b06%7C4a5378f929f44d3ebe89669d03ada9d8%7C0%7C0%7C637726533612293879%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000&sdata=ILmwqNqbgkzRBaTVwWrE4rmKhitA%2BiKdGaHjHp9bY5U%3D&reserved=0">
Turing-RSS Lab international distinguished lecture series</a>, Prof Jodie McVernon and colleagues will be presenting on their experience in Australia. Australia and other countries in the Asia-Pacific Region have had a very different experience of COVID-19
over the past two years from the ‘global north’. Border measures and strong public health controls focused on zero community transmission have resulted in effective elimination in many settings, interspersed with periods of low disease activity. Estimation
of COVID-19 risks and the likely impact of public health interventions including vaccination in this context required development of innovative statistical and modelling methods for scenario preparedness and situational assessment. Members of a nationally
distributed team of modellers who have supported COVID-19 policy decision making in Australia and the Western Pacific Region will present some of these approaches.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Jodie McVernon<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Prof Jodie McVernon is a public health physician and epidemiologist, with a focus on translating model-informed evidence into policy. Her work undertaken with large multi-disciplinary teams has informed policy for the control of emerging,
vaccine preventable and neglected tropical infectious diseases in Australia, the Asia Pacific region and globally.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Nick Golding<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Prof Nick Golding is an statistically-inclined infectious disease modeller with wide-ranging experience in policy-relevant modelling on neglected tropical diseases, and emerging diseases such as avian influenza and Ebola. He is interested
in Bayesian inference software and semi-mechanistic models of disease transmission.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Freya Shearer<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Dr Freya Shearer is an infectious disease modeller. Her research interests include the critical relationships between epidemiological data, situational assessment, and preparedness planning in guiding effective and evidence-informed pandemic
response.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">David Price<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Dr David Price is a biostatistician and stochastic modeller with a keen interest in infectious diseases. Since March 2020, he has been part of a team providing situational assessment and model-based evidence to support policy decisions
in Australia and neighbouring countries.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><u>Agenda<o:p></o:p></u></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">0915-0930 Introductions from Prof Peter Diggle (Turing-RSS Technical Director) & Dr Johanna Hutchinson (UKHSA Director of Analytics and Data Science)<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">0930-1015 Presentation from Prof McVernon and colleagues<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">1015-1030 Q&A<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Please contact <a href="mailto:healthprogramme@turing.ac.uk">
healthprogramme@turing.ac.uk</a> should you have any questions.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Best Wishes<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Harry <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Harry Meacher
</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"><br>
Research Project Manager <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Health & Medical Sciences Programme
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"><a href="mailto:hmeacher@turing.ac.uk">hmeacher@turing.ac.uk</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><u><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">_____________________________<o:p></o:p></span></u></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">The Alan Turing Institute<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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