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<p class="MsoNormal">***apologies if you receive this more than once***<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><u>Circulated on behalf of the ESRC Centre for Population Change<o:p></o:p></u></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Dear All<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The next Centre for Population Change seminar will be held on 04 October in building 54, room 8031 (8C), 15:00-16:00. Professor Peter Davis, from the University of Auckland, is going to give a talk entitled, ‘SociaLab: A census-based simulation
tool for public policy inquiry’.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">After the talk, refreshments will be served in room 2041 on level 2 in Building 58.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Title:</b> SociaLab: A census-based simulation tool for public policy inquiry<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Abstract:</b> It is usually neither practical nor ethical to conduct large-scale experiments in public policy with standard methodologies. One alternative for the prior testing of policy options is to use simulation, a prime contemporary
example being climate change projections.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">A tool – SociaLab – was developed for the counterfactual modelling of public policy drawing on longitudinal data from the New Zealand census and using microsimulation techniques. The seminar will outline the background, construction and
counterfactual modelling results from the tool.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">SociaLab potentially provides an open-source tool for deliberative inquiry in policy development. It has now been fully written up in Simulating Societal Change, co-authored with Roy Lay-Yee, and published by Springer in the series Computational
Social Sciences.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><o:p> </o:p></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Peter Davis</b> is Honorary Professor in the Department of Statistics and Emeritus Professor in Population Health and Social Science at the University of Auckland. Earlier in his career, he was the founding director of the Centre of
Methods and Policy Application in the Social Sciences (COMPASS) in the Faculty of Arts and before that a health and applied sociologist in the Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences. He has an undergraduate degree from Southampton, Masters degrees in Sociology
and in Statistics from the London School of Economics, and a PhD from Auckland. <o:p>
</o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Details of all forthcoming CPC events and seminars can be found on our website:
<a href="https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cpc.ac.uk%2Factivities%2Flatest_events%2F&data=01%7C01%7C%7C488f6af3d5fb4558eb6c08d7425d4f4e%7C4a5378f929f44d3ebe89669d03ada9d8%7C0&sdata=glnJqQ5rk5mZ3oHdRA3No9I5v6r2wdt%2B6%2BlLq0V2XGA%3D&reserved=0" originalsrc="http://www.cpc.ac.uk/activities/latest_events/" shash="SgMUJEb2uQJ7DUQ9i4Q/Fcfh9T4MH4lFUw7FryzDtUr0Ty5auWSQ0eteQNTKip0N++czFmZSr5hz6x1mXFMbgxZiv952v00p8PnVW6HhZ/gNV2OZfDAKUL8bV1SPIbvtivUoKhOiQ+lVtgSY1jI1AsOJ4nczGp0lsA5bG+QhH7o=">
http://www.cpc.ac.uk/activities/latest_events/</a> <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Many thanks<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Kim<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Kim Lipscombe<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Events Administrator<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"><a href="https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cpc.ac.uk%2F&data=01%7C01%7C%7C488f6af3d5fb4558eb6c08d7425d4f4e%7C4a5378f929f44d3ebe89669d03ada9d8%7C0&sdata=uZXhjsAjnyB%2FZzKE7xTt0DFxmNbfvhefMzGn8%2BjMBpQ%3D&reserved=0" originalsrc="http://www.cpc.ac.uk/" shash="gztG4EhKU3FhesZXSb7E7pRZmgF344bh/bLg7E8kutlD9Oi+KX35HV+jDVZVvf19m30OKt5kjGC5+j/u2AOshwtO5G6aV+rO7fFuaNzMSXG+lePktenAEczBtJmaGGePMslPfH3L3R5gHxK+41Az7IENY/AN5dbtFugqI61tysI=">ESRC
Centre for Population Change</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Faculty of Social Sciences
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB">Building 58, Room 2001, University of Southampton, United Kingdom, SO17 1BJ<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"> Tel: +44 (0) 2380 59 4080<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2FCPCpopulation&data=01%7C01%7C%7C488f6af3d5fb4558eb6c08d7425d4f4e%7C4a5378f929f44d3ebe89669d03ada9d8%7C0&sdata=TltiqMqeVkZGDGvQ5l5JEPEMS0ABKEO96YEtDELeZiI%3D&reserved=0" originalsrc="https://twitter.com/CPCpopulation" shash="qx2A+we/V4eohi8iWnneH4VDr1fRRsSrHHP5LXV6vCobflt2Esfaa5kiyVYoPLcetnlSfbpvBTfp/GGu4+LKzmBwNI32o2xMWhorDbk2CV2xrkPW4IcdOzZZKK/GijtoUR+1BN+Kwt9J29fUNKSEi6VJQyu9+x9a9i2Nzr3sv90="><span style="color:blue;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB;text-decoration:none"><img border="0" width="27" height="28" style="width:.2824in;height:.2916in" id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image001.png@01D57212.2FCFC120" alt="0da17e2a-9ed5-496a-b161-9fd4491ce5c7"></span></a><a href="https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2FCPCpopulation&data=01%7C01%7C%7C488f6af3d5fb4558eb6c08d7425d4f4e%7C4a5378f929f44d3ebe89669d03ada9d8%7C0&sdata=qkmudw%2Be0LP72AW9g7BiKZ812DG8lla6z3%2BEkDZkWZY%3D&reserved=0" originalsrc="https://www.facebook.com/CPCpopulation" shash="apKByaigVhnMqTMtji/+YBAweENAsr/ej95VyuVxHKmttDfYLa7doO8WmwYa+4edSpm1EAkjqbaTCcIFq/URZVMuYgxD/R9UesAVFCcRW1XyZLlIEJnvkbJhmm9ucDju1OtfMRufM5DSQZRanEDrfwySHZhPA2DF+53PZEeRbqs="><span style="color:blue;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB;text-decoration:none"><img border="0" width="31" height="28" style="width:.324in;height:.2916in" id="Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:image002.png@01D57212.2FCFC120" alt="dc36f8aa-3677-4a31-aea2-04f8525a8131"></span></a><span style="color:#1F497D;mso-fareast-language:EN-GB"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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