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    <p>Dear all,</p>
    <p>On Thursday (6 December) at 2pm in <span class="event-where">54
        / 7035 (7B), we have an S3RI seminar from </span><span
        class="event-where">Mario Cortina Borja (University College
        London) on </span><span class="event-where"><span
          class="event-description">"</span></span><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span
            class="event-description">Bayesian inference for bivariate
            copulas with additive models for dependence, marginal
            location, scale and shape: an application in paediatric
            ophthalmology</span>". Details are given below.<br>
        </span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">The talk will be followed by tea
              and cake in the staff reading room on level 4 of building
              54. </span></span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">All are welcome!</span></span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span>Best
            wishes,</span></span></span><span class="event-where"><span
          class="event-description"><span><br>
            Helen</span></span></span></p>
    <p>Bayesian inference for bivariate copulas with additive models for
      dependence, marginal location, scale and shape: an application in
      paediatric ophthalmology <br>
    </p>
    <p>Mario Cortina Borja, University College London <br>
    </p>
    <p>Motivated by data on visual acuity from a large sample of
      children aged between 3 and 8 years, we propose bivariate copula
      models with dependence parameters, and sinh-arcsinh marginal
      densities with location, scale and shape parameters that depend on
      a covariate through additive models. We perform inference about
      the unknown quantities of our model in the Bayesian framework
      using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. We apply our model to
      paediatric ophthalmic data to gain new insights about the
      processes which cause changes in visual acuity with respect to
      age, including the age-related nature of the copula dependence
      parameter. We analyse predictive distributions to identify
      children with unusual sight characteristics, distinguishing those
      who are bivariate, but not univariate outliers. In this way we
      provide an innovative tool that enables clinicians to identify
      children with unusual sight who may otherwise be missed. <br>
    </p>
    <p>Work in collaboration with Julian Stander and Luciana Dalla Valle
      (Plymouth), Brunero Liseo (Rome), Charlotte Taglioni (Padua), and
      Angie Wade (UCL). </p>
    <span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
            class="event-description"><span> <span
                class="event-description"> </span><span
                class="event-description"><span
                  class="event-description">For the current schedule of
                  S3RI seminars, see <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
                    href="https://tinyurl.com/s3riseminar">https://tinyurl.com/s3riseminar</a>
                </span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description"></span></span></span></span></p>
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