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    <p>Dear all,</p>
    <p>On Thursday (22 November) at 2pm in <span class="event-where">54
        / 7035 (7B), we have an S3RI seminar from Andrew Titman
        (Lancaster University) on </span><span class="event-where"><span
          class="event-description">"</span></span><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span
            class="event-description"><span class="event-description">Informative
              observation in multi-state models</span></span>". Details
          are given below.<br>
        </span></span></p>
    <p style="margin-bottom: 0cm; line-height: 100%"><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">The seminar will also be
              available via a live web-cast at</span></span></span></span><br>
    </p>
    <p style="margin-bottom: 0cm; line-height: 100%"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://coursecast.soton.ac.uk/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=58feb0fd-5471-4145-846e-a990010a25ec">https://coursecast.soton.ac.uk/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=58feb0fd-5471-4145-846e-a990010a25ec</a></p>
    <p>
      <style type="text/css">p { margin-bottom: 0.25cm; line-height: 120%;</style><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">The talk will be followed by tea
              and cake in the staff reading room on level 4 of building
              54. </span></span></span></span> </p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">All are welcome!</span></span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span>Best
            wishes,</span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span>Helen</span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-description">Informative observation in
        multi-state models <br>
      </span></p>
    <p><span class="event-description">Andrew Titman, Lancaster
        University <br>
      </span></p>
    <p><span class="event-description">
        Data on multi-state disease processes often arise through
        intermittent observation of disease status at clinic visit
        times. This leads to interval-censor<wbr>ed or panel-observed
        data. Standard analyses for such data usually assume that the
        examination times are non-informative of the disease process,
        meaning they are ignorable. However if clinic visits are
        potentially self-initiated and the disease is symptomatic, there
        is a risk that attendances will arise because a patient's
        condition has deteriorated leading to a form of selection bias.
        The talk will give an overview of existing approaches for
        dealing with informative observation times and the challenges to
        be overcome. There are analogies and connections with methods
        for missing data, but the methodology is less developed and
        informative observation is more often an issue of excess, rather
        than missing, observations. Focus will be given to methods for
        diagnosing the presence of informative observation and joint
        modelling approaches involving simultaneous modelling of the
        disease and visit processes. The methods are illustrated on data
        from post-heart transplantation patients.
      </span></p>
    <br>
    <span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
            class="event-description"><span> <span
                class="event-description"> </span><span
                class="event-description"><span
                  class="event-description">For the current schedule of
                  S3RI seminars, see <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
                    href="https://tinyurl.com/s3riseminar">https://tinyurl.com/s3riseminar</a>
                </span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description"></span></span></span></span></p>
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