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    <p>Dear all,</p>
    <p>On Thursday (1 November) at 2pm in <span class="event-where">54
        / 7035 (7B), we have an S3RI seminar from </span><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description">Carolin
          Jenkner, University of Freiburg</span> on </span><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description">"</span></span><span
        class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span
            class="event-description"><span class="event-description">Multivariable
              modeling of continuous covariates with a spike at zero</span></span>".
          Details are given below.<br>
        </span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">The seminar will also be
              available via a live web-cast at</span></span></span></span><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://coursecast.soton.ac.uk/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c2bc1d87-ef9e-46a3-91a1-912ed9a8704e">https://coursecast.soton.ac.uk/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=c2bc1d87-ef9e-46a3-91a1-912ed9a8704e</a></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">The talk will be followed by tea
              and cake in the staff reading room on level 4 of building
              54. </span></span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description">All are welcome!</span></span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span>Best
            wishes,</span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span>Helen</span></span></span></p>
    <p><span class="event-description">Multivariable modeling of
        continuous covariates with a spike at zero <br>
      </span></p>
    <p><span class="event-description">
        Carolin Jenkner, University of Freiburg <br>
      </span></p>
    <p><span class="event-description">
        In a lot of clinical and epidemiological studies, covariates
        with a large amount of observations with value zero occur. One
        simple example is the covariate "cigarettes smoked per day''.
        Here non-smokers take value zero, so that in studies
        investigating the effect of this covariate the amount of zeros
        will be relatively high. Covariates with a spike at zero (SAZ)
        are continuous covariates with this special distribution. The
        proportion of observations with value zero is higher than for
        continuous covariates with standard distributions (e.g. normal
        distribution etc.). In this talk the properties of these
        covariates as predictor variables in statistical models is
        investigated and how their effect on different outcomes can be
        modelled appropriately.
        For analysing the effect of two covariates with SAZ on an
        outcome variable, four modelling strategies including different
        binary indicator covariates are proposed. All four methods are
        extensions of a non-linear modelling technique for one covariate
        with SAZ based on fractional polynomials (FPs) with inclusion of
        a binary variable indicating if the covariate is zero or not
        (FP-spike). Results of a simulation study, in which the four
        methods are investigated and compared to standard linear
        regression and FP as non-linear modelling technique will be
        presented. For illustration, application to data of a study on
        laryngeal cancer is presented.</span></p>
    <br>
    <span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
            class="event-description"><span> <span
                class="event-description"> </span><span
                class="event-description"><span
                  class="event-description">For the current schedule of
                  S3RI seminars, see <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
                    href="https://tinyurl.com/s3riseminar">https://tinyurl.com/s3riseminar</a>
                </span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br>
    <p><span class="event-where"><span class="event-description"><span><span
              class="event-description"></span></span></span></span></p>
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